Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
Live
Yes
74.5 % chance
No
25.5 % chance
$3.9K
34
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:54 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 74.5 %chance
- Yes 74.5¢ · No 25.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
74.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
74.5¢
Yes price now
0.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
63
Smart money
28
Top holders
- Pr…ieYes3,015
- ma…ksYes1,160
- re…erYes1,075
- so…saNo1,766
- do…meNo1,403
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