Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?
Live
Yes
38.0 % chance
No
62.0 % chance
$6.3K
33
Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 17:18 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 38.0 %chance
- Yes 38.0¢ · No 62.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
48.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
38.0¢
Yes price now
10.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
84
Smart money
30
Top holders
- ci…esYes1,750
- an…noNo1,300
- tu…erNo1,413
- Ga…maNo1,128
- Pr…ieYes1,213
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