Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?
Live
Yes
62.5 % chance
No
37.5 % chance
$3.2K
44
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 62.5 %chance
- Yes 62.5¢ · No 37.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
21.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
62.5¢
Yes price now
41.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
120
Smart money
35
Top holders
- Pr…ieNo2,477
- Al…53No2,518
- ze…rtYes1,150
- An…ntYes1,167
- pi…edYes686
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