Politics · US electionsTrump
Question
Will the Republican Party hold 40 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live
Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$351.99
13
Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 15:28 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 17:00 UTC
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets) → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 2.1 %chance
- Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
11
Top holders
- sc…oiNo321.5
- Vi…axNo205.3
- H…mNo140
- mu…erNo123.1
- qu…elNo118.6
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