Politics · Trump
Question
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Live
Yes
30.5 % chance
No
69.5 % chance
$11.1K
55
Trading opened Feb 26, 2026 21:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Trump declares election interference national emergency by...? → all 2 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 30.5 %chance
- Yes 30.5¢ · No 69.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
28.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
30.5¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
88
Smart money
30
Top holders
- dw…4ZNo12,394
- Ca…diNo5,073
- Ca…ezYes7,455
- Kr…03Yes9,086
- Ho…ceYes5,330
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