Iran full airspace closure by December 31?

Live

Yes

23.5 % chance

76.5 % chance

$1.9K

Trading opened Jul 27, 2026 17:37 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Iran full airspace closure by...? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

23.5 %chance
Yes 23.5¢ · No 76.5¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

30.5¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

23.5¢

Yes price now

7.0¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

Va…n9No31,245
ca…acNo9,916
Ho…-mYes8,000
AnonymousYes7,791
Ge…chYes5,140

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.

Create account to unlock

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.