Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%?
Live
Yes
16.9 % chance
No
83.1 % chance
$1.8K
20
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 16.9 %chance
- Yes 16.9¢ · No 83.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
8.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.9¢
Yes price now
8.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
40
Smart money
19
Top holders
- co…arYes2,763
- Ha…thNo329.2
- Dr…NLNo277.5
- Lu…ysNo237.8
- Vi…axNo157.2
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