Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?
Live
Yes
20.0 % chance
No
80.0 % chance
$10.4K
27
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:54 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 20.0 %chance
- Yes 20.0¢ · No 80.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
26.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
20.0¢
Yes price now
6.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
45
Smart money
25
Top holders
- DO…B1Yes10,621
- AnonymousNo4,516
- no…ckYes5,000
- Cb…edNo2,000
- Co…itYes2,855
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