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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on October 12?

Live · started Oct 12 07:00 UTC

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$1.8K
37

Trading opened Oct 10, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 12? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.1¢
Yes price now
0.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
72
Smart money
34

Top holders

  • Li…o2No439.9
  • 1D…TDNo349.9
  • Ul…neNo250.9
  • un…idNo210
  • ni…xmNo100.1

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on October 12? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank