Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?

Live

Yes

3.3 % chance

96.7 % chance

$1.5K

Trading opened Oct 8, 2026 22:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...? → all 2 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

3.3 %chance
Yes 3.3¢ · No 96.7¢

1D · All: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

14.3¢

Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)

2.5¢

Yes price now

11.8¢

Holders paid above the current price

24h fills

Smart money

Top holders

v…iNo859.5
ED…99No292.1
Jo…wnNo136
A…VYes315.2
Dr…NLYes240.7

See who's really positioned here

The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.

Create account to unlock

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.