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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Trading opened Feb 11, 2026 22:47 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 4, 2026 00:00 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory all 11 questions

Where holders bought vs market

35%
Holder avg entry (skill-weighted)
47%
Market mid
12 pts
Holders paid below the current mid
24h volume
$1.5K
24h fills
23
Positioners
14
Smart money
10

Top holders

  • Re…e.YES3,826
  • la…vaNO1,777
  • 78…79YES1,438
  • AnonymousNO1,114
  • AnonymousYES1,114

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