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WorldLula Vote Share?

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes)

Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win more than 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Live

Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$637.34
8

Trading opened Oct 2, 2026 18:13 UTC · Scheduled close Oct 5, 2026 02:59 UTC

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share? (Higher Strikes) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • Yes0.5¢
  • No99.5¢
  • 1D: Loading…

Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Ja…osNo430.5
  • Sp…atNo80.5
  • Lu…ysNo60
  • no…erNo50
  • Co…gaYes412

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Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win more than 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank