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Politics · Global electionsFrance

Question

Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?

Live · starts Oct 31 23:09 UTC

Yes
99.6 % chance
No
0.4 % chance
$8.0K
29

Trading opened Jul 13, 2026 23:14 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 10, 2026 03:59 UTC

Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee → all 49 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 99.6 %chance
  • Yes 99.6¢ · No 0.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

71.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
99.6¢
Yes price now
28.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
52
Smart money
16

Top holders

  • St…eyYes6,016
  • Gi…o2Yes2,922
  • Fu…31Yes3,041
  • Ho…llYes1,630
  • Mo…tsYes1,606

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Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank