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World · Ukraine & Russia

Question

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?

Live

Yes
8.5 % chance
No
91.5 % chance
$8.28
2

Trading opened Aug 14, 2026 08:18 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jul 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? → all 3 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 8.5 %chance
  • Yes 8.5¢ · No 91.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

10.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.5¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
0

Top holders

  • Zu…laYes5,395
  • Fe…meNo1,345
  • pr…egNo1,134
  • Mw…leNo957.1
  • Ym…YmNo750

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Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank