Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
Live
Yes
4.2 % chance
No
95.8 % chance
$1.43
2
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.2 %chance
- Yes 4.2¢ · No 95.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.2¢
Yes price now
2.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- Lu…ysNo160.3
- ka…78No70
- do…meNo48.5
- Sp…atNo44.5
- ci…esNo40
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