Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?
Live
Yes
93.8 % chance
No
6.2 % chance
$3.8K
60
Trading opened Jul 6, 2026 22:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC
CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual) → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 93.8 %chance
- Yes 93.8¢ · No 6.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
56.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
93.8¢
Yes price now
37.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
209
Smart money
46
Top holders
- Ar…lyYes931.1
- ma…ksYes618
- Ju…reNo391
- ki…67Yes562
- Qu…alYes260.5
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