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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat?

Live

Yes
93.8 % chance
No
6.2 % chance
$3.8K
60

Trading opened Jul 6, 2026 22:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual) → all 6 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 93.8 %chance
  • Yes 93.8¢ · No 6.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

56.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
93.8¢
Yes price now
37.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
209
Smart money
46

Top holders

  • Ar…lyYes931.1
  • ma…ksYes618
  • Ju…reNo391
  • ki…67Yes562
  • Qu…alYes260.5

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Will Eric Jones win the CA-04 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank