Politics · Middle EastIran target a Arab country by
Question
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 15, 2026?
Live
Yes
52.5 % chance
No
47.5 % chance
$4.8K
12
Trading opened Oct 7, 2026 23:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 03:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 52.5 %chance
- Yes 52.5¢ · No 47.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
39.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
52.5¢
Yes price now
12.9¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
26
Smart money
7
Top holders
- BA…89Yes358
- me…ldYes279.5
- si…33No200
- T…2No160
- pr…etYes98
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