Politics · Middle East
Question
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Live
Yes
8.0 % chance
No
92.0 % chance
$54.4K
39
Trading opened Apr 17, 2026 15:49 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? → all 8 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 8.0 %chance
- Yes 8.0¢ · No 92.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
21.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
8.0¢
Yes price now
13.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
51
Smart money
25
Top holders
- te…seNo45,341
- aa…kaNo37,897
- an…23Yes67,920
- Mi…neNo32,349
- de…zzNo26,681
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