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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?

Live · starts Nov 7 18:48 UTC

Yes
55.5 % chance
No
44.5 % chance
$2.5K
21

Trading opened May 4, 2026 20:12 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government? → all 18 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 55.5 %chance
  • Yes 55.5¢ · No 44.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

43.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
55.5¢
Yes price now
11.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
40
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • 1w…usYes1,275
  • Ha…thYes492.6
  • ma…ckNo392.4
  • Vi…axNo335.1
  • ca…81Yes286.7

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Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank