Politics · Ukraine & RussiaNATO
Question
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?
Live · started Sep 23 23:44 UTC
Yes
18.0 % chance
No
82.0 % chance
$112.5K
165
Trading opened Oct 22, 2026 15:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 18.0 %chance
- Yes 18.0¢ · No 82.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
21.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
18.5¢
Yes price now
3.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
758
Smart money
124
Top holders
- Al…IfNo18,038
- Do…erYes26,591
- SD…ngNo12,473
- iv…eyYes15,473
- y…uNo7,863
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