Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?
Live
Yes
96.5 % chance
No
3.5 % chance
$6.9K
30
Trading opened Dec 16, 2025 17:04 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 96.5 %chance
- Yes 96.5¢ · No 3.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
82.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.5¢
Yes price now
13.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
73
Smart money
28
Top holders
- Sn…r7Yes10,837
- Li…onYes4,975
- SA…erYes3,673
- Hy…ngNo5,218
- sc…usYes2,749
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