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Tech · AI

Question

Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?

Live

Yes
67.0 % chance
No
33.0 % chance
$3.6K
35

Trading opened Oct 27, 2026 20:50 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...? → all 2 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 67.0 %chance
  • Yes 67.0¢ · No 33.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

51.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
67.0¢
Yes price now
15.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
78
Smart money
22

Top holders

  • l…kYes1,035
  • Co…teYes719.5
  • Fr…tsYes510.3
  • re…tsNo450.1
  • li…erNo429.3

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Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank