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Question

Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Live

Yes
64.5 % chance
No
35.5 % chance
$1.7K
17

Trading opened Oct 20, 2026 19:32 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC

Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place → all 51 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 64.5 %chance
  • Yes 64.5¢ · No 35.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

65.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
64.5¢
Yes price now
0.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • Ti…erNo5,491
  • Ag…alYes3,608
  • Ou…emYes3,194
  • V…2No2,891
  • kr…06Yes1,904

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Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank