Politics · Middle EastMilitary StrikesUS to invade Iran
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Live
Yes
17.5 % chance
No
82.5 % chance
$203.6K
175
Trading opened Nov 5, 2025 17:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 17.5 %chance
- Yes 17.5¢ · No 82.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
26.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
18.0¢
Yes price now
8.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
271
Smart money
95
Top holders
- Th…skYes1,056,379
- x…9Yes925,530
- de…zzNo370,470
- Se…alYes519,221
- De…onNo333,640
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