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Weather · ClimateExceptional Drought This Week

Question

Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?

Yes
75.0 % chance
No
25.0 % chance
$12.39
3

Trading opened Oct 1, 2026 13:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 8, 2026 13:00 UTC

Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 6, 2026 → all 40 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 75.0 %chance
  • Yes 75.0¢ · No 25.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

83.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
75.0¢
Yes price now
8.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
3
Smart money
1

Top holders

  • mo…yyYes277.6
  • br…ceYes28.8
  • a…iYes21
  • 09…74No200
  • Ta…27No30

See who's really positioned here

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Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank