World · Global elections
Question
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?
Live
Yes
4.7 % chance
No
95.3 % chance
$1.2K
21
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 19:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.7 %chance
- Yes 4.7¢ · No 95.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.7¢
Yes price now
0.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
57
Smart money
16
Top holders
- Wi…orNo600
- Lu…ysNo556.5
- ba…arNo336.8
- Ha…thNo289.4
- We…ssYes610
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