Weather · New York CityNYC Daily Lowest Temperature
Question
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12?
Live · started 04:00 UTC
Yes
9.7 % chance
No
90.3 % chance
$168.56
20
Trading opened Oct 10, 2026 07:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 12, 2026 12:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 9.7 %chance
- Yes 9.7¢ · No 90.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
9.7¢
Yes price now
4.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
25
Smart money
9
Top holders
- ye…ppNo60
- Be…23No53.5
- Tw…ceYes43.1
- ke…onNo10
- di…ngYes20.2
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