Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the loser of the Alaska Senate election concede by November 4?
Live
Yes
54.5 % chance
No
45.5 % chance
$7.80
2
Trading opened Nov 3, 2026 00:27 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 5, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 54.5 %chance
- Yes 54.5¢ · No 45.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
13.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
54.5¢
Yes price now
41.5¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- xt…meYes60
- Im…ngNo20
- lo…olNo20
- IU…OTNo20
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