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Weather · ChicagoChicago Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on October 6?

Live · started 05:00 UTC

Yes
0.3 % chance
No
99.7 % chance
$861.57
33

Trading opened Oct 4, 2026 07:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 6, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 6? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.3 %chance
  • Yes 0.3¢ · No 99.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

0.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.3¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
72
Smart money
30

Top holders

  • Ra…66No320
  • 0…ANo250
  • Un…etNo248.6
  • xi…ngNo167.2
  • 1D…TDNo95

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Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on October 6? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank