Politics · US electionsOil
Question
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
Live
Yes
50.9 % chance
No
49.1 % chance
$419.47
7
Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 16:22 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 50.9 %chance
- Yes 50.9¢ · No 49.1¢
Loading the price chart…
- 1D · All: Loading…
Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
50.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
50.9¢
Yes price now
0.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
8
Smart money
5
Top holders
- Mi…dcYes10
- KR…LLNo10
- Gu…12Yes2
- ch…erNo2
See who's really positioned here
The traders active here ranked by their measured track record in this category, the 24h order-flow chart, and the live fills feed — free with an account.
Create account to unlockNot affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.
Loading market…