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Politics · Global elections

Question

Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Live

Yes
26.5 % chance
No
73.5 % chance
$2.8K
23

Trading opened Apr 29, 2026 23:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2026 04:59 UTC

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place → all 33 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 26.5 %chance
  • Yes 26.5¢ · No 73.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

42.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
26.5¢
Yes price now
15.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
51
Smart money
15

Top holders

  • ba…arNo1,329
  • 1w…usYes725.3
  • Da…shYes411
  • al…seYes524.6
  • cl…ctNo300

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Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank