Politics · Economy & the FedTrump
Question
Will there be 3 or more government shutdowns by December 31, 2027?
Live
Yes
16.0 % chance
No
84.0 % chance
$462.33
11
Trading opened Nov 5, 2026 01:15 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
How many government shutdowns by December 31, 2027? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 16.0 %chance
- Yes 16.0¢ · No 84.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
1.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.0¢
Yes price now
15.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
21
Smart money
10
Top holders
- Ai…rdNo200
- Mr…🐸Yes504
- Pi…wgNo132.6
- AnonymousNo109
- ri…eeNo50
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