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Weather · TokyoTokyo Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 15?

Live · started Oct 14 15:00 UTC

Yes
1.2 % chance
No
98.8 % chance
$861.86
12

Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 04:30 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Tokyo on October 15? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.2 %chance
  • Yes 1.2¢ · No 98.8¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

14.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.2¢
Yes price now
13.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • y…1No401.8
  • NY…54No120
  • ye…ppNo60
  • g…fYes125
  • Fo…ngYes151.5

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Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 15? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank