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Weather · San FranciscoSan Francisco Daily Weather

Question

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 16?

Live · started 07:00 UTC

Yes
38.0 % chance
No
62.0 % chance
$1.1K
49

Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 10:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 12:00 UTC

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 16? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 38.0 %chance
  • Yes 38.0¢ · No 62.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

38.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
38.0¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
56
Smart money
34

Top holders

  • Br…icNo1,775
  • he…67Yes1,623
  • AnonymousYes624.3
  • Ou…ryYes342.3
  • tr…e1No250

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 16? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank