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World · Global elections

Question

Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%?

Live

Yes
0.6 % chance
No
99.4 % chance
$1.8K
43

Trading opened Oct 26, 2026 17:07 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 2, 2026 04:59 UTC

Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory → all 9 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.6 %chance
  • Yes 0.6¢ · No 99.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

24.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.6¢
Yes price now
24.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
84
Smart money
32

Top holders

  • Jo…eyNo421.5
  • Ca…neYes1,134
  • De…onNo368.5
  • Ze…BGYes509.5
  • Vi…axNo305.8

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Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank