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Politics · Ukraine & Russia

Question

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?

Live

Yes
47.5 % chance
No
52.5 % chance
$179.49
6

Trading opened Sep 7, 2026 15:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jun 1, 2027 03:59 UTC

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? → all 18 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 47.5 %chance
  • Yes 47.5¢ · No 52.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

49.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
47.5¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Smart money
3

Top holders

  • CO…ILYes3,000
  • Tr…onNo1,954
  • ne…erYes1,150
  • R…oYes1,000
  • Kn…tyNo1,000

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank