World · US electionsGaza
Question
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?
Live
Yes
20.3 % chance
No
79.7 % chance
$234.51
9
Trading opened Nov 2, 2026 00:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2028 04:59 UTC
Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027? → all 4 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 20.3 %chance
- Yes 20.3¢ · No 79.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
16.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
20.3¢
Yes price now
4.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
16
Smart money
8
Top holders
- au…mmNo239.3
- Lu…ysNo210
- Bd…yaYes312.5
- Ju…reNo79
- Gu…erNo75.6
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