Politics · Ukraine & Russia
Question
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Live
Yes
15.5 % chance
No
84.5 % chance
$2.3K
15
Trading opened Feb 19, 2026 20:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? → all 9 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 15.5 %chance
- Yes 15.5¢ · No 84.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
42.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
15.5¢
Yes price now
26.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
18
Smart money
11
Top holders
- el…coYes277,396
- ho…stNo89,499
- Kr…erNo55,146
- Jo…01No45,394
- Az…rnYes22,355
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