Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?
Live
Yes
3.4 % chance
No
96.6 % chance
$4.7K
51
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 05:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 3.4 %chance
- Yes 3.4¢ · No 96.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
23.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.4¢
Yes price now
20.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
205
Smart money
43
Top holders
- Er…87Yes874.7
- Hy…ngNo750
- Ar…lyNo542.3
- xt…meNo381.1
- lo…ayYes643
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