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Politics · US elections

Question

Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?

Live

Yes
3.4 % chance
No
96.6 % chance
$4.7K
51

Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 05:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

AZ-08 House Election Winner → all 8 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 3.4 %chance
  • Yes 3.4¢ · No 96.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

23.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
3.4¢
Yes price now
20.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
205
Smart money
43

Top holders

  • Er…87Yes874.7
  • Hy…ngNo750
  • Ar…lyNo542.3
  • xt…meNo381.1
  • lo…ayYes643

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Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank