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Politics · US elections

Question

Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?

Live

Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$1.6K
19

Trading opened Nov 3, 2026 23:15 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 30, 2026 17:00 UTC

Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.1 %chance
  • Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

6.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
4.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
17

Top holders

  • Ju…reNo500
  • me…48No300
  • Pi…wgNo195
  • ha…ayNo155
  • Id…loYes492

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Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank