Politics · US elections
Question
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?
Live
Yes
1.1 % chance
No
98.9 % chance
$1.6K
19
Trading opened Nov 3, 2026 23:15 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 30, 2026 17:00 UTC
Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30? → all 10 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.1 %chance
- Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
6.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.1¢
Yes price now
4.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
17
Top holders
- Ju…reNo500
- me…48No300
- Pi…wgNo195
- ha…ayNo155
- Id…loYes492
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