Crypto · BitcoinBitcoin Neg Risk Weekly
Question
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 15?
Live
Yes
4.5 % chance
No
95.5 % chance
$1.3K
10
Trading opened Oct 8, 2026 16:00 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 15, 2026 16:00 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 4.5 %chance
- Yes 4.5¢ · No 95.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
31.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
4.5¢
Yes price now
26.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
13
Smart money
7
Top holders
- 0…5No560
- co…peNo414.3
- AnonymousNo433.1
- di…ltNo200
- co…peYes780
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