Politics · US electionsMidterms
Question
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 9%-12%?
Live
Yes
0.5 % chance
No
99.5 % chance
$504.61
10
Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 12 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.5 %chance
- Yes 0.5¢ · No 99.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
2.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.5¢
Yes price now
1.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
7
Top holders
- mi…27No115
- sm…ptNo90
- ha…ayNo60
- a…zNo58.8
- do…meNo35.2
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