Politics · Middle EastOilships transit the Strait of Hormuz
Question
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?
Live
Yes
33.1 % chance
No
66.9 % chance
$1.0K
15
Trading opened Oct 13, 2026 09:34 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 26, 2026 03:59 UTC
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19? → all 6 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 33.1 %chance
- Yes 33.1¢ · No 66.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
24.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
33.1¢
Yes price now
9.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
32
Smart money
12
Top holders
- sh…ooNo374
- ra…woYes710
- Vi…axNo270
- A…VNo150
- Lo…tsYes279.8
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