Politics · Middle EastIran
Question
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
Live
Yes
39.0 % chance
No
61.0 % chance
$1.7K
23
Trading opened Sep 28, 2026 17:51 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 39.0 %chance
- Yes 39.0¢ · No 61.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
38.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
39.0¢
Yes price now
0.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
15
Top holders
- Kr…erNo6,377
- Va…n9Yes5,000
- pa…aaYes1,733
- Al…daNo920
- Ar…lyNo800
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