Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Republican Party win the AR-03 House seat?
Live
Yes
96.5 % chance
No
3.5 % chance
$6.8K
25
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 05:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 96.5 %chance
- Yes 96.5¢ · No 3.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
92.6¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.5¢
Yes price now
3.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
22
Top holders
- Si…eeYes1,674
- Ta…nkYes500
- co…atYes351
- Dr…NLNo600
- Vi…caNo700
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