Politics · US elections
Question
Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat?
Live
Yes
95.6 % chance
No
4.4 % chance
$5.03
2
Trading opened Jan 28, 2026 21:35 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 95.6 %chance
- Yes 95.6¢ · No 4.4¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
93.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
95.6¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
1
Smart money
1
Top holders
- ga…lfYes2,000
- Si…eeYes866.8
- Si…eeNo2,137
- Se…enYes333.2
- ib…45Yes83.8
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