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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?

Live

Yes
18.0 % chance
No
82.0 % chance
$339.85
8

Trading opened Aug 4, 2026 18:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 4, 2026 04:59 UTC

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory → all 10 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 18.0 %chance
  • Yes 18.0¢ · No 82.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

15.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
18.0¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
10
Smart money
7

Top holders

  • Sm…lyNo600
  • th…inYes647.1
  • an…noYes510.8
  • Lu…ysNo110.1
  • Ha…thNo102.4

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank