Politics · US politicshouse
Question
Government shutdown by December 31?
Live
Yes
32.5 % chance
No
67.5 % chance
$1.4K
10
Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 21:23 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 32.5 %chance
- Yes 32.5¢ · No 67.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
42.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.5¢
Yes price now
9.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
15
Smart money
9
Top holders
- ma…roNo1,353
- Zh…CDNo835.1
- Fu…orNo640
- TR…20Yes761.2
- Um…thYes600
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