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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting?

Live

Yes
24.5 % chance
No
75.5 % chance
$4.7K
44

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 18:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 28, 2027 23:59 UTC

Fed Decision in April? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 24.5 %chance
  • Yes 24.5¢ · No 75.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

24.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
24.5¢
Yes price now
0.3¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
75
Smart money
35

Top holders

  • tr…erNo999.8
  • 8d…l8Yes966
  • C…1Yes914.8
  • xt…meNo352.2
  • ro…24No327.9

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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2027 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank