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Weather · Hong KongHong Kong Daily Lowest Temperature

Question

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16?

Live · started Oct 15 16:00 UTC

Yes
93.5 % chance
No
6.5 % chance
$1.5K
38

Trading opened Oct 14, 2026 04:29 UTC · Eligible for resolution Oct 16, 2026 12:00 UTC

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 93.5 %chance
  • Yes 93.5¢ · No 6.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

65.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
93.5¢
Yes price now
27.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
55
Smart money
29

Top holders

  • Ke…axYes300.9
  • Jo…leYes237.5
  • Cr…15Yes250
  • mu…r.Yes223.5
  • nj…snNo300

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Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 16? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank